Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.026757 0.028762 0.030781 0.032962 0.035249 0.037575 0.040115
2026-02-01 0.022911 0.026035 0.029299 0.032950 0.036912 0.041067 0.045745
2026-02-08 0.020471 0.024223 0.028247 0.032862 0.037984 0.043471 0.049770
2026-02-15 0.018584 0.022770 0.027364 0.032741 0.038822 0.045447 0.053172
2026-02-22 0.017087 0.021604 0.026664 0.032694 0.039625 0.047285 0.056336
2026-03-01 0.015638 0.020377 0.025789 0.032348 0.040000 0.048570 0.058815
2026-03-08 0.014184 0.019044 0.024700 0.031667 0.039914 0.049265 0.060568
2026-03-15 0.012910 0.017847 0.023699 0.031019 0.039802 0.049877 0.062180
2026-03-22 0.012432 0.017593 0.023801 0.031661 0.041191 0.052221 0.065796
2026-03-29 0.011741 0.017029 0.023487 0.031769 0.041917 0.053770 0.068472
2026-04-05 0.011033 0.016403 0.023063 0.031708 0.042415 0.055029 0.070794
2026-04-12 0.010635 0.016155 0.023091 0.032192 0.043564 0.057060 0.074036
2026-04-19 0.009921 0.015491 0.022607 0.032069 0.044023 0.058340 0.076487
2026-04-26 0.009277 0.014897 0.022198 0.032035 0.044601 0.059783 0.079172
2026-05-03 0.008669 0.014313 0.021771 0.031950 0.045089 0.061100 0.081696
2026-05-10 0.008097 0.013748 0.021338 0.031831 0.045514 0.062326 0.084101
2026-05-17 0.007596 0.013255 0.020978 0.031785 0.046016 0.063636 0.086605
2026-05-24 0.007030 0.012635 0.020416 0.031445 0.046118 0.064431 0.088462
2026-05-31 0.006399 0.011880 0.019634 0.030778 0.045766 0.064634 0.089566
2026-06-07 0.005826 0.011179 0.018897 0.030144 0.045431 0.064835 0.090652
2026-06-14 0.005677 0.011128 0.019081 0.030772 0.046770 0.067181 0.094452
2026-06-21 0.005384 0.010832 0.018897 0.030878 0.047403 0.068619 0.097104
2026-06-28 0.005063 0.010472 0.018605 0.030819 0.047806 0.069752 0.099369